Quick Answer

2022 was a tale of two markets in Indianapolis — the first half saw record price appreciation and bidding wars, while rising interest rates in the second half cooled activity. 2023 projections called for stabilized prices, more balanced conditions, and opportunities for patient buyers.

Cooling
2H 2022 Activity
Stable
Price Trend
Rising
Rate Environment
Balanced
2023 Forecast

2022 Market Recap & 2023 Outlook

Watch Beau’s full year-end review for a deep dive into the 2022 Indianapolis market and his predictions for 2023.

2022: A Market Defined by Rate Shifts

The 2022 Indianapolis real estate market split sharply in half:

H1 2022 — Historic Seller’s Market:

  • Inventory at record lows
  • Multiple-offer situations on virtually every listing
  • Prices appreciating 10%+ year-over-year in northern suburbs
  • Buyers waiving inspections and offering above list price

H2 2022 — Rate-Driven Slowdown:

  • Mortgage rates rose from ~3% to 7%+ by October 2022
  • Buyer pool contracted significantly
  • Days on market increased
  • Sellers had to recalibrate pricing expectations

2023 Projections (as of Year-End 2022)

Beau’s projections entering 2023:

  • Price correction unlikely — Indianapolis fundamentals too strong for a significant drop
  • Inventory still tight — not enough new supply to create buyer’s market conditions
  • Rate-sensitive buyers — activity would track rate movements closely
  • Opportunities for patient buyers — negotiating power returning for the first time since 2019
  • Sellers need to price right — the days of listing above market and expecting offers were over

The Indianapolis Advantage Through the Cycle

Even in the cooling 2H 2022 environment, Indianapolis outperformed most major metros. Job growth, population increases in Hamilton County, and the region’s relative affordability continued to attract both buyers and investors from higher-cost coastal markets.

Sources

This market update is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Market conditions change frequently — consult a licensed real estate professional before making decisions.